Forecast for Melbourne, issued 31st October, 5am.
Wednesday : Very warm and cloud increasing, showers and storms developing later tending to areas of rain and thunderstorms overnight. Light to moderate NE winds, afternoon seabreezes near the coast. Rainfall 2 – 6 mm
Min 18 Max 32
Thursday : Rain and local thunderstorms easing to a few showers later. Moderate to occasionally fresh SW winds, easing later.
Rainfall 8 – 14 mm Min 11 Max 18
Friday : Fine, mild to warm and becoming sunny. Light to moderate E/SE winds.
Min 12 Max 21
Saturday : Fine, mild to warm and partly cloudy, light to moderate E/NE winds.
Min 15 Max 23
Sunday : Warm and unsettled. Showers and thunderstorms developing about the nearby hills. Light to moderate NE winds. Rainfall 2 – 5mm
Min 17 Max 26
Monday : Warm and unsettled, humid with showers and thunderstorms. Moderate NE winds. Rainfall 2 – 6mm
Min 17 Max 27
Tuesday : Warm and humid, showers and afternoon thunderstorms tending to rain overnight. Moderate NE winds, shifting cooler SW in the afternoon. Rainfall 2 – 6 mm Min 16 Max 27
Wednesday : Rain and thunderstorms and cooler change, moderate to fresh SW winds developing.
Rainfall 10 – 15 mm Min 17 Max 23
Notes on the Weather :
A lingering low pressure trough is meandering over much of the Northern and Central part of Australia. An upper level low has formed in the east coast trough near Central QLD border of NSW. This will move South on Tuesday, bringing widespread shower and thunderstorm activity to QLD, NSW, Vic and Eastern SA. By Tuesday and Wednesday the trough will trigger unsettled and humid conditions from Nth QLD all the way down to Western Victoria, before a late change enters from the west.
Cooler conditions will prevail following the passage of the front in Victoria on Thursday, quickly clearing for fine conditions on Friday and into the early part of the weekend. Conditions will be warm and become increasingly humid before a very large system develops on the Tuesday of Cup Weekend, with rain and colder weather becoming established.