Updated Forecast for Melbourne, issued 2nd November, 4.45 pm.
Saturday : Fine, mild to warm and partly cloudy, light to moderate E/NE winds.
Min 12 Max 23
Sunday : Warm and mostly fine. Showers and thunderstorms developing about the nearby hills. Light to moderate NE winds. Afternoon bayside seabreezes.
Min 14 Max 25
Monday : Warm and unsettled, humid with showers and thunderstorms later in the day . Light to Moderate NE winds, with afternoon bayside seabreezes. Rainfall 2 – 6mm
Min 15 Max 30
Tuesday : Warm and humid, showers and afternoon thunderstorms tending to rain in the late afternoon. Locally heavy rainfall possible, mainly in the east. Moderate NE winds, shifting cooler SW in the afternoon. Rainfall 12 –20 mm
Min 18 Max 28
Wednesday : Rain and thunderstorms, with possible heavy falls, easing to scattered showers. Moderate to fresh SW winds.
Rainfall 10 – 20 mm Min 17 Max 23
Thursday : Cool and cloudy with showers, easing later. Moderate to fresh W/SW winds. Rainfall 2 – 5 mm
Min 12 Max 20
Friday : Showers tending to rain at times, with the risk of a thunderstorm. Light S/SE winds, tending SW later. Rainfall 5 -10mm
Min 13 Max 22
Notes on the Weather :
A lingering low pressure trough is meandering over much of the Northern and Central part of Australia. An upper level low has formed in the Tasman sea with a strong low pressure trough, and is moving east, leaving a colder SW flow over Victoria. Isolated showers will clear East and generally clear on Friday.
Conditions will be warm and become increasingly humid on the weekend, however conditions will remain mainly fine across the state. There is the possibility of afternoon showers on the ranges on Sunday, before increasing on Monday from the West with very warm to hot conditions developing. A very large system develops on the Tuesday of Cup Weekend, with rain and colder weather becoming established. Locally heavy rainfall is likely to develop on Tuesday and Wednesday for Victoria, especially east of Central areas through to Gippsland.
On Thursday, another upper level cold pool will approach from the SW and reinvigorate unstable and wet conditions from the West on Thursday night into Friday.