Forecast for Melbourne, issued 6th November, 5am.
Tuesday : Warm and humid, rain and isolated thunderstorms easing late morning. Showers and thunderstorms becoming widespread in the afternoon. Locally heavy rainfall possible, mainly in the east. Moderate NE winds, shifting cooler SW in the afternoon. Rainfall 15 –25 mm
Min 18 Max 26
Wednesday : Rain and thunderstorms, with possible heavy falls, easing to scattered showers. Moderate to fresh S/SE winds. Rainfall 5 – 12 mm
Min 17 Max 23
Thursday : Cool and cloudy with a few showers, easing later. Moderate to fresh W/SW winds. Rainfall 1 – 4 mm
Min 12 Max 22
Friday : Showers tending to rain at times, with the risk of a thunderstorm. Light S/SE winds, tending SW later. Rainfall 10 – 20 mm
Min 13 Max 22
Saturday : Cool and cloudy with isolated showers. Moderate to fresh SW winds. Rainfall 1 – 4 mm
Min 12 Max 20
Sunday : Fine and mostly sunny after early cloud, light to moderate E/NE winds.
Min 14. Max 25
Monday : Scattered showers, cooler change developing with moderate SW winds. Rainfall 5 – 8 mm
Min 14 Max 24
Notes on the Weather : A lingering low pressure trough is meandering over much of the Northern and Central part of Australia. A low pressure trough is over Southern Australia, and is activating a large system stretching from the Northern Territory to Tasmania. Conditions will remain warm for the most part, as the large scale trough and associated low pressure system become slow moving and the dominant feature. Rain and thunderstorms will continue on Tuesday, before scattered thunderstorms develop on a cold front and move through Victoria on Tuesday. Heavy rainfall is likely with these thunderstorms, particularly East of Melbourne.
The system will stall on Wednesday, so rain areas with locally heavy falls will affect Eastern Victoria, whilst isolated showers will affect the Western areas. On Friday showers and thunderstorms will redevelop from the West and affect the whole state, tending to rain at times through West Central areas, and along the coast. Showers will continue on Saturday, before easing on Sunday. Yet another Low pressure system will develop on Monday with showers becoming general again, especially Southern and Mountain districts.