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Forecast for Melbourne, issued 27th November, 5am
Tuesday : A few showers and local thunderstorms, tending to rain at times in the NE. Light SE winds tending E in the afternoon with afternoon bayside seabreezes. Rainfall 8 – 15 mm.
Min 15 Max 24
Wednesday : Fine and warm, partly cloudy in the afternoon. Light to moderate E/NE winds.
Min 16 Max 30
Thursday : Very warm to hot, cloud increasing and becoming humid, showers developing later, with isolated thunderstorms. Moderate N/NE wind, fresh in the morning. Rainfall 2 -5 mm
Min 20 Max 35
Friday : Warm and unsettled with rain at times and isolated thunderstorms. Light winds tending NE, ahead of a cooler change in the morning. Rainfall 15 – 25 mm
Min 24 Max 27
Saturday : Mild, showers clearing early then redeveloping later. Light to moderate NW winds tending Northerly and freshening.
Min 15 Max 24
Sunday : A few showers clearing later, cool and mostly cloudy with moderate SW winds easing later and tending light SE.
Min 14 Max 22
Monday : Cool and partly cloudy, light SE winds.
Min 13 Max 24
Notes on the Weather : A low pressure trough is laying over Victoria, temperatures are mild and humid in the South, whilst in the north temperatures are very warm to hot. Showers and thunderstorms are now extending across the state, and will continue across most of Victoria for tomorrow as well. the pattern will be slow moving, however by Wednesday a ridge of high pressure will move across Victoria, and fine and warm weather will develop whilst another large trough moves into SA from the NW.
A large scale system will develop towards the end of the week, initially very warm to hot conditions will develop across the state on Thursday, and the airmass will become more humid. As a result showers and scattered thunderstorms will develop across most western areas of the state. On Friday the pattern will be slow moving so unsettled conditions with rain and thunderstorms will continue, with a late change entering the SW of the state at night. Local heavy falls will be possible in this period along the ranges.
On Saturday, early showers will clear ahead of a weak front later in the day with cooler conditions and isolated showers moving in from the west, and will clear from the west of the state on Sunday. Another ridge will move in on Monday clearing the state of showers and fine and warm weather will return.